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☆ Behind America's divided economy: Booming luxury travel and a jump in 'relief' loans
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

First-class travel has exhibited special strength, though management noted that can be tied in part to a resurgence of business trips. People taking these loans are more likely to be lower-income with no more than a high school diploma, Lanier said. Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFrozen food maker Tyson Foods has seen consumers shifting more to eating at home than the quick-service restaurants it supplies. It's also important to remember that lower-income Americans were feeling financial pressures before the pandemic, said Tyler Schipper, an associate professor of economics at the University of St. Thomas in Minnesota. Airbnb touted interest in travel to events like the Paris Olympics and the European Cup in Germany this summer.

Persons: there's, It's, Christophe Le Caillec, underscoring, Blair Lanier, Lanier, McDonald's, Tyson, Daniel Acker, Tyson Foods, Stanley Black, Decker, Jane Fraser, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Fraser, Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler, Tyler Schipper, Thomas, Schipper, Eric Thayer, We've, Cliff Pemble Organizations: TSN, American Express, Federal Reserve, CNBC, People, University of Michigan, San Francisco Federal Reserve, U.S, PepsiCo, Bloomberg, Getty, Tyson, Management, Adobe Analytics, Furniture, Citigroup, University of St, Airlines, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, Caribbean . Booking Holdings, Paris Olympics, European, Ticketmaster, Cedar Fair, Flags, Wayfair, Garmin Locations: America, U.S, Minnesota, New York, Germany, Valencia , California

☆ Forget Recession, New York City Is Entering a Wild New Gilded Age
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

In a country roiled by recession worries, those at the top of New York City — for better or worse — couldn't give a single gilded shit. For New York City, a brush with death called for a time of decadence. "New York City's restaurants and bars are experiencing an uneven pandemic recovery nearly four years after COVID-19 struck our city," Andrew Rigie, the executive director of the New York City Hospitality Alliance, said. AdvertisementIf a pandemic can't defeat New York City, a little inflation certainly isn't going to do it. And what that looks like is the affluent in New York City eating caviar, and poorer Americans eating cereal.

Persons: Steve Jobs, it's, Jennifer Saesue, Saesue, Fish Cheeks, Z, bistros, James Murphy, us Carbone, Casas — Cruz, Cipriani, Jean, Georges Vongerichten, Bongo, Andrew Rigie, Corey Mintz, we're, WK Kellogg, Gary Pilnick, Gary Pilnick's Organizations: Grand Prospect Hall, New, New York City, Apple, Mastercard, Chefs, Casas, Soho House, Bangkok Supper, Village, IBA, Hospitality Alliance, Nationwide, National Restaurant Association, Nasdaq, The University of Michigan Consumer, UBS, New York Locations: New York City, New York, Rome, Xinjiang, New, Manhattan, Coqodaq, Las Vegas, York, Bangkok, Hell, TouchBistro, Brooklyn, The Bronx

☆ Jim Cramer sees Ford and Costco nearing buy levels. Here's the story behind each
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Ford and Costco are approaching good levels to pick up additional shares, according to Jim Cramer. "Costco shares have given back some recent gains but business is strong," said Jeff Marks, the Club's director of portfolio analysis. Ford fundamentals Shares of Club name Ford rose 2.8% to $13.65 each Wednesday after vehicle sales in the first quarter grew 6.8%. "These numbers do not show the profitability of Ford," Jim said Wednesday, suggesting investors should value the company at higher levels. Ford shares need to catch up to crosstown rival General Motors , he argued.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jim, Gordon Haskett, I'm, Craig Jelinek, Rich Galanti, Ron Vachris, Gary Millerchip, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Ford, Costco, University of Michigan, Motors, GM, Wall, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Inwood , New York

☆ America's CEOs are suddenly feeling a lot better about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Optimism about the economy spiked among US CEOs to start the yearBusiness Roundtable's quarterly CEO sentiment report jumped by 11 points in the first quarter. The report also showed CEOs expect hiring, capital investment, and sales to all increase in the coming six months. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment report showed Americans' mood improving to start the year, climbing to its highest mark since July 2021. AdvertisementA special question in the latest survey from the business group in this quarter's survey showed that CEOs are feeling downbeat about government policy and regulation. We urge policymakers to recommit themselves to promoting economic growth, creating more American jobs and increasing economic mobility," Business Roundtable CEO Joshua Bolten said.

Persons: —, Chuck Robbins, Joshua Bolten Organizations: Service, Business, Cisco, IMF, University of Michigan Locations: U.S

☆ It's our fault you feel bad about the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The media has been more negative about the economy than the underlying data would suggest, a new study found. The tone of economy stories since 2018 doesn't match variables such as GDP, inflation, and unemployment. This may have fueled a disconnect between how the economy performs and how people think it's performing. Meanwhile, a December Bankrate study found that 59% of US adults feel the economy is in a recession. Still, many Americans feel better about their local economy than the national economy.

Persons: —, us, Brookings, Will Stancil, Stancil Organizations: Service, Brookings, San, San Francisco Federal Reserve's, University of Michigan Consumer, University of Minnesota Locations: San Francisco Federal

☆ US stocks climb ahead of Thanksgiving as investors weigh lower oil prices and jobless claims
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Jason Ma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks climbed on Wednesday as Wall Street headed into the Thanksgiving holiday break. Oil prices and weekly jobless claims dropped, and shares of Nvidia after it reported earnings. Bond yields edged up after a consumer survey showed higher inflation expectations. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Wednesday as Wall Street eyed the Thanksgiving holiday break amid fresh economic and earnings reports. Bond yields ticked slightly higher after declining earlier in the day as the data could put more pressure on the Fed to keep rates higher for longer.

Persons: — Organizations: Nvidia, Service, University of Michigan, Fed

☆ NY Fed finds softer inflation expectations in October
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A woman passes by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York in New York City, U.S., March 13, 2023. The relative stability of New York Fed expectations data contrasts with that seen in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. It found in November a rise in year-ahead expected inflation to 4.4% from 4.2% in October, with five-year expected inflation up to 3.2%, from October’s 3%. Over the last year and a half the Fed has aggressively raised rates in a bid to cool high inflation. But it kept alive the prospect of more action should inflation not fall further on the path back to 2%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, there’s, Jerome Powell, Powell, ”, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, Consumer, New, New York Fed, University of Michigan Consumer, University of Michigan, Federal, Committee, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, September’s, New York, York, October’s

Consumers continued to sour on the economic outlook in November while also growing more pessimistic about future inflation, according to the first estimate from the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey. The index of consumer sentiment fell 5% to a reading of 60.4, down from 63.8 in October. “Ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine weighed on many consumers as well.”“Overall, lower-income consumers and younger consumers exhibited the strongest declines in sentiment,” Hsu added. Various surveys measuring the minds of consumers have found them to be worried about inflation and the economy in general. “Consumer sentiment continues to trend downward at a moderate pace as consumers attempt to juggle inflation and higher interest rates,” said Damian McIntyre, Portfolio manager and head of multi asset solutions at Federated Hermes.

Persons: ”, Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, Joe Biden, Damian McIntyre, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Goldman Sachs Organizations: University of Michigan, “, Federated Hermes, Federal Reserve, Index, Louis Federal Reserve Bank Locations: Gaza, Ukraine, Kentucky, Ohio

☆ Morning Bid: Amazon and goldilocks ride to the rescue
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Unlike the reaction to similarly decent results from some of its Big Tech peers this week, shares in the online retail giant Amazon climbed 5% after hours. And both Nasdaq and S&P500 futures were set to bounce into the weekend later after the cash markets closed at their lowest since May. With nominal U.S. growth running at close to 8%, depending on which inflation gauge you use, the heat is impressive. And even the racy headline GDP growth rate was below many assumptions of a 5%-plus print. That bond relief has perhaps flattered the overnight stocks bounce - although on aggregate the earnings season is pretty decent too.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, megacaps, Wang Yi, crumb, Sanofi, TRowe Price, Stanley Black, Decker, CBRE, Christine Lagarde, Jane Merriman Organizations: Chevron Corp, Hess Corp, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Amazon, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Big, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Apple, of Japan, European Central Bank, Britain's NatWest, Financial, Authority, University of Michigan, Colgate, Palmolive, Xcel Energy, Charter Communications, Phillips, Central Bank, European Union Summit, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Syria, Europe, Dallas, Abbvie, LyondellBasell, Brussels

☆ 3 things to watch in the stock market next week as bond yields hover at 2007 highs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-21 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

The usual suspects were to blame — rising bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and oil prices — and will hold the keys to the market this coming week. Earnings are one of the three major themes on the marquee next week, with 10 Club companies reporting. Here are the companies: Danaher (DHR), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), Veralto (VLTO), Honeywell (HON), Linde (LIN), Amazon (AMZN), Ford (F) and Stanley Black & Decker (SWK). As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer, Jim, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Decker, Danaher, Veralto, it's, Mark Zuckerberg, We're, Vimal Kapur, Linde, Jim Farley, Ford, FactSet, Powell, WTI, Baker Hughes, Edwards Lifesciences, Northrop, CARR, Davidson, Dr Pepper, Phillips, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Economic, of New, Treasury, West Texas, Procter, Gamble, 10, Microsoft, Honeywell, Linde, LIN, Health Care, Technology, Communications Services, Google, Meta, Ford, Amazon, United Auto Workers, Atlanta, Wall Street, Hamas, Brent, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Logitech, Verizon, General Electric, GE, RTX Corporation, Halliburton, HAL, General Motors, Dow Chemical, DOW, Xerox, Texas Instruments, F5 Networks, WM, Boeing, Fisher, Mobile, Hilton, General Dynamics, Norfolk Southern, Otis Worldwide, IBM, KLA, O'Reilly Automotive, Mattel, Whirlpool, Gross, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Hershey Company, United Parcel Service, Southwest Airlines, Altria, Northrop Grumman, Valero Energy Corp, Mastercard, Merck, Co, Myers Squibb, Newmont, Tractor Supply Company, Comcast, Seagate Technology, Boston, Hertz, Carrier, Hasbro, Harley, Intel, Grill, United States Steel, Boston Beer Company, Texas, University of Michigan, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Charter Communications, Colgate, Palmolive, Newell Brands, Sanofi, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: of New York, U.S, Industrials, OpenAI, America, Venezuela, Cleveland, Norfolk, ORLY, Bristol, Brunswick, Oshkosh, New York City

☆ Even as job creation surges, Americans still think the economy stinks. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"You see all these high-level headline numbers, and those numbers don't jibe with your economic reality," said Elizabeth Crofoot, senior economist at labor analytics firm Lightcast. Higher prices have been one problem. Are the jobs numbers really that good? Beyond the housing costs, there's some evidence that the jobs numbers may not be all they're cracked up to be, either. After all, more than a quarter of the job creation for September came from lower-wage occupations in the leisure and hospitality industry.

Persons: Frederic J, Brown, Elizabeth Crofoot, nonfarm, Joe Biden's, Crofoot, millennials, Jessica Lautz Organizations: Shell, Afp, Getty, Labor Department, Reuters, Consumer, University of Michigan, Consumers, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Federal Reserve Locations: Alhambra , California, U.S

FILE PHOTO:Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Excluding volatile food and energy components, the core PCE price index rose 0.1% in August month-on-month, compared with estimates of 0.2% advance. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are poised for their worst monthly showing of the year amid uncertainty around interest rates. Riding the current of higher crude prices, energy is set to emerge as the only major S&P 500 sector to notch monthly gains. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week high and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 21 new highs and 60 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Kim Forrest, “ Organizations: Reuters, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Commerce Department, Bokeh Capital Partners, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, University of Michigan Consumer, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Energy, Dow, Democratic, Traders, JPMorgan Hedged Equity, Nike, Dick’s, Goods, NYSE Locations: New York City, U.S, Riding

Excluding volatile food and energy components, the core PCE price index rose 0.1% in August month-on-month, compared with estimates of 0.2% advance. Consumer discretionary led gains among the major S&P 500 sectors, rising 0.9%. But the sector is set to emerge as the only major S&P 500 sector to notch monthly gains. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are poised for their worst monthly showing of the year amid uncertainty around interest rates. The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 25 new highs and 109 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, David Russell, “ It’s Organizations: Reuters, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Commerce Department, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, University of Michigan Consumer, Energy, Dow Jones, Dow, Democratic, Traders, JPMorgan Hedged Equity, Nike, Dick’s, Goods, NYSE Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Wall Street tumbles, Treasury yields gain as focus turns to Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reversed their weekly advances, while the blue-chip Dow ended the week nominally higher. European stocks closed higher, extending a rally sparked by the European Bank signaling an end to its rate-hiking cycle, and logging a weekly gain. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.23% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.63%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.33%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed 0.58% higher, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) rose 1.10%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow, TW, Chuck Carlson, Robert Pavlik, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Naomi Rovnick, Kevin Buckland, Nick Zieminski, Diane Craft, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Nasdaq, Semiconductor, SOX, Reuters, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Horizon Investment, Financial, Dakota Wealth, Dow Jones, Bank, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, Hammond , Indiana, Fairfield , Connecticut, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London, Tokyo

☆ The Fed's focus on 'real' rates is what investors should be watching
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gauging the 'real' rate Chair Jerome Powell , following the July meeting, said his definition of real rates is the fed funds rate minus "near-term inflation expectations." With the fed funds rate running at 5.33% and the Michigan survey indicating one-year inflation expectations at 3.3%, that puts the real rate around 2%. Using the 10-year Treasury yield against the inflation rate, the real rate currently sits around 1.6% . The evidence, though, that higher real rates are holding back activity is mixed. Its focus on real rates could mean more hawkish policy, particularly if inflation expectations start rising again.

Persons: Nicholas Colas, Jerome Powell, Powell, Colas Organizations: DataTrek Research, University of Michigan, Fed, Primary Dealers Locations: Michigan

☆ Americans haven't felt this good about the economy in 2 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Conference Board's consumer confidence gauge just hit its highest level in two years. The Conference BoardAmericans have rosier views of the labor market, the data showed, and more people reported feeling "good" about family finances while fewer reported feeling "bad." "[B]oth indicators are on an upswing as consumers take positive signals from the resilient labor market and receding inflation in recent months," the Barclays analysts wrote. The improving economic outlook reflects easing inflation and the ongoing resilience of the labor market, Peterson said. "This likely reveals consumers' belief that labor market conditions will remain favorable."

Persons: Dana Peterson, Peterson Organizations: Service, Privacy, Conference, Conference Board, Barclays, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ What’s ahead this week for Wall Street and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Case Shiller house price index for May and consumer confidence for July from the Conference Board. Earnings reports from AT&T, Boeing, Meta Platforms, Mattel, Stellantis and Chipotle Mexican Grill. Earnings reports from Coca-Cola, Mondelez, Honeywell, Keurig Dr Pepper, Royal Caribbean, Anheuser-Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines and Hershey. Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for June, Employment Cost Index for the second quarter and University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July. Earnings reports from Procter & Gamble, Chevron and Exxon Mobil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, David Smith, Powell, Christopher Waller, ”, Dustin Thackeray, Tesla, Chris Isidore, —, Case, Dr Pepper Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Fed, Traders, Rockland Trust, Big Tech, Microsoft, Meta, Crewe Advisors, Nasdaq, Netflix, Safety, Health Administration, doesn’t, Biden Administration, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Ryanair, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, General Motors, Daniels, Midland, Verizon, PacWest, Boeing, Mattel, Honeywell, Anheuser, Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines, Hershey, University of Michigan, Procter & Gamble, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Rockland, American, United States, PacWest Bank, Royal Caribbean

☆ Hard Questions if Biden’s Approval Doesn’t Follow Economy’s Rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

To this point in his presidency, it has been fairly easy to attribute his low ratings to economic conditions. But if inflation has been what’s holding Mr. Biden back, it’s hard to say it should hold him back for too much longer. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index surged 13 percent in July, reaching the highest level since September 2021 — the first full month Mr. Biden’s approval ratings were beneath 50 percent. There’s another factor that ought to help Mr. Biden’s approval rating: the onset of a new phase of the Republican primary campaign, including debates. Some of the Democratic-leaning voters who currently disapprove of Mr. Biden might begin to look at the Biden presidency in a different light.

Persons: it’s, Mr, Biden, — Organizations: University of Michigan, Republican, Democratic, Biden Locations: Britain, U.S, Weimar Germany

☆ Morning Bid: Relief over US inflation keeps Asia upbeat
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] A woman shops for groceries at El Progreso Market in the Mount Pleasant neighborhood of Washington, D.C., U.S., August 19, 2022. Indeed, Friday's rise in the yen put it within striking distance of its converging 100-day and 200-day moving averages near 137.00 to the dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia was also in the spotlight in Asia, with the much-anticipated announcement of its next governor. The rest of the day is light on economic data with euro zone May trade, U.S. export and import prices and University of Michigan consumer sentiment the main releases. But it's a bumper day for bank earnings as JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N), Wells Fargo (WFC.N) and BlackRock (BLK.N) are all due to report second-quarter results.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Sonali Desai, Michele Bullock, JPMorgan Chase, Luis de Guindos, Edmund Klamann Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Bank of, People's Bank of China, The Reserve Bank of Australia, University of Michigan, JPMorgan, Citigroup, BlackRock, Hollywood, Central Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, Asia, Japan Asia, U.S, Wells Fargo, Brussels U.S

☆ Treasury yields rise after two-day slide
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Friday, reversing some of the sharp declines seen over the last two sessions on the back of cooler-than-expected consumer and wholesale inflation prints. ET, The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 3 basis points to 3.795%, while the 2-year yield climbed 6 basis points to 4.675%. At the longer end of the curve, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond gained 2 basis points to 3.915%. Investors were reacting on Thursday to the June producer price index, which showed a weaker-than-expected monthly rise of 0.1% on both the headline and core metrics. That followed Wednesday's consumer price index, which came in at an annualized 3% for June, below consensus expectations and its lowest level since March 2021.

Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Fed, Traders, University of Michigan

☆ Stock futures are little changed ahead of big bank earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as investors awaited earnings reports from a slate of big banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were down by 0.04%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures inched lower by 27 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. In regular trading, the S&P 500 climbed 0.85%. The S&P 500 is up 2.5% on the week, while the Dow is up 1.9%.

Persons: Bill Merz, we'd, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Dow, Wells, UnitedHealth Organizations: Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow, Investors, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citi, BlackRock, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Why the Fed is still likely to raise rates after cooler June jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But beneath the surface, the jobs market remains hot. What’s next: The June Consumer Price Index report, a key inflation reading, is due on Wednesday. The Producer Price Index report for June is due on Thursday. Wednesday: Consumer Price Index report and housing starts for June. Thursday: Producer Price Index report for June.

Persons: ”, Joseph Davis, What’s, That’s, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Candice Tse, Price, Chris Isidore, Biden, Julie Su Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Vanguard, Traders, DA, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, UPS, Teamsters, NY, Reserve’s Survey, University of Michigan

Recessions haven't always resulted in declining stock markets, and good opportunities can be found amid them. Sectors for recession naysayersThe best sectors for recession disbelievers are the most economically sensitive ones: industrials, materials and financials. Well-positioned companies with good growth prospects currently include: Corteva, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp., PPG Industries and Sherwin-Williams. Currently buyable names include: Campbell Soup Co., General Mills, The Hershey Co., Kellogg's, Kimberly-Clark Corp., Kroger, Procter & Gamble and Walmart. Sector names with reasonable risk levels and good growth prospects include: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc., Veeva Systems Inc., IQVIA Holdings Inc., Cigna Group and Zoetis Inc.

Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Mayur, Martin Marietta, JPMorgan Chase, Rowe Price, Willis Towers Watson, Campbell, General Mills, Clark, Willie B, Thomas, Digitalvision Organizations: Westend61, University of Michigan Consumer, Investors, Westinghouse Air Brake Co, Cummins Inc, CSX, Emerson Electric, Otis Worldwide, Carrier, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Illinois Tool, Lockheed Martin Corp, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp, PPG Industries, XLF, JPMorgan, Rowe Price Group Inc, American International Group, Allstate, The, McLennan, Sectors, Co, Hershey Co, Clark Corp, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Walmart, Getty Images Health, iShares U.S, Medical Devices, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc, Veeva Systems Inc, IQVIA Holdings Inc, Cigna, Zoetis Inc Locations: American, The Hartford, Marsh, Kimberly

☆ Powell expects more Fed rate hikes ahead as inflation fight 'has a long way to go'
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday affirmed that more interest rate increases are likely ahead until additional progress is made on bringing down inflation. Following last week's two-day FOMC meeting, officials indicated they see rate increases totaling 0.5 percentage point through the end of 2023. "Nonetheless, inflation pressures continue to run high, and the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go." Powell later said that the Fed has adjusted its approach to policy after implementing rate hikes at the most aggressive pace since the early 1980s. He also emphasized that rate decisions will be made based on incoming data and meeting by meeting, rather than on a preset course.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, doesn't Organizations: Financial Services, Market, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, of Michigan Locations: Washington ,

☆ Wall Street is placing its bets for a big Fed meeting and inflation reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The betting is also that the latest inflation reading for May that will be reported Tuesday, just as the two-day Fed meeting gets underway, will show additional progress in the fight against higher prices. Those views have helped power a broader stock market rally on Wall Street this month. In fact, the combination of the narrow stock market rally in 2023, until this month at least, plus the low VIX reading, leads Demmert to expect a 10% stock market correction at some point. "The stock market at large is in overbought territory and investors are very complacent, which was the case prior to the past three major declines within this 18-month bear market. Between the June and September meetings, the Fed would get three more inflation and three more payrolls reports.

Persons: Russell, Scott Ladner, Ladner, James Demmert, that's, Demmert, Jerome Powell's, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Jerome Powell, John Wiley, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox Organizations: Fed, CME Group, CPI, Horizon Investments, Street Research, Investors, North, Capital Economics, Capital, UBS, Federal, Philadelphia Fed, Adobe, University of Michigan Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, SPX, downtrends, North America

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